Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.039021 0.042441 0.045887 0.049612 0.053519 0.057490 0.061825
2025-10-19 0.033922 0.039007 0.044297 0.050190 0.056546 0.063173 0.070584
2025-10-26 0.030059 0.036351 0.043090 0.050790 0.059291 0.068340 0.078649
2025-11-02 0.025456 0.032416 0.040089 0.049076 0.059218 0.070220 0.082971
2025-11-09 0.022408 0.029923 0.038428 0.048608 0.060313 0.073214 0.088373
2025-11-16 0.019967 0.027903 0.037109 0.048350 0.061493 0.076181 0.093647
2025-11-23 0.018794 0.027277 0.037318 0.049775 0.064533 0.081201 0.101204
2025-11-30 0.017624 0.026545 0.037311 0.050870 0.067129 0.085675 0.108114
2025-12-07 0.016395 0.025635 0.037004 0.051535 0.069165 0.089461 0.114208
2025-12-14 0.015039 0.024458 0.036284 0.051626 0.070458 0.092339 0.119219
2025-12-21 0.014315 0.024058 0.036495 0.052824 0.073056 0.096733 0.125991
2025-12-28 0.012825 0.022519 0.035168 0.052035 0.073181 0.098153 0.129239
2026-01-04 0.011846 0.021648 0.034691 0.052323 0.074656 0.101235 0.134526
2026-01-11 0.011110 0.021074 0.034571 0.053043 0.076653 0.104945 0.140573
2026-01-18 0.010420 0.020516 0.034438 0.053723 0.078587 0.108574 0.146532
2026-01-25 0.008959 0.018700 0.032506 0.051975 0.077403 0.108363 0.147842
2026-02-01 0.008046 0.017650 0.031575 0.051502 0.077799 0.110057 0.151431
2026-02-08 0.007278 0.016766 0.030832 0.051241 0.078436 0.112028 0.155341
2026-02-15 0.007070 0.016782 0.031374 0.052722 0.081327 0.116805 0.162691
2026-02-22 0.006780 0.016640 0.031671 0.053857 0.083767 0.121023 0.169366
2026-03-01 0.006392 0.016299 0.031655 0.054547 0.085617 0.124500 0.175135
2026-03-08 0.005882 0.015703 0.031228 0.054642 0.086667 0.126963 0.179652
2026-03-15 0.005684 0.015653 0.031620 0.055883 0.089236 0.131349 0.186558